Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Name: Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Start: 2026-04-07T07:35:36.571Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

Will the US leave NATO by April 2026? Bet on this pivotal geopolitical shift!

Market Volume

$40.4K

Total traded

End Date

Apr 30, 2026

22d 7h left

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2 outcomes

Outcome	Chance	Trade
	1%
	10%

PARIFLOW

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.