Ends 12/31/2026

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Name: Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Start: 2026-02-22T15:19:58.616Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Will Iran take the dramatic step of withdrawing from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty by 2027? Place your bets on this high-stakes geopolitical showdown!

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Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.