Ends 12/31/2026

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Name: Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Start: 2026-02-22T15:02:42.185Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Will tensions escalate to the point of Iran blocking this vital oil chokepoint? A geopolitical flashpoint that could reshape global energy markets.

Volume:$22.3k

June 30 20%

December 310%

March 31 20%

PARIFLOW

Resolution Rules

If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.