Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

    Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

    Bet on whether China will launch a military offensive against Taiwan before 2027—a pivotal moment for global geopolitics.

    Market Volume

    $500K

    Total traded

    End Date

    Dec 31, 2026

    262d 13h left

    Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    50%
    Amount
    $0.00 available
    $

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    8.5%
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    Resolution Rules

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    50%
    Amount
    $0.00 available
    $

    By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use.

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