Will Trump visit China by...?

    Will Trump visit China by...?

    Market Volume

    $282K

    Total traded

    End Date

    Apr 30, 2026

    2d 10h left

    Most likely outcomes

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    Top outcomes ranked by current chance.

    5 outcomes
    OutcomeChanceTrade
    1%
    0%
    61%
    85%
    78%
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    PariflowPARIFLOW
    Resolution Rules

    If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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