
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Will Trump make history by recognizing Somaliland as a sovereign state before 2027? Bet on this bold diplomatic move!
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Dec 31, 2026
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PARIFLOWThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.