Ends 12/31/2026

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Name: Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Start: 2026-02-22T15:11:11.786Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Will a Canadian province hold a secession referendum before 2027? Bet on the future of the nation!

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Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.