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Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Name: Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Start: 2026-02-22T15:21:32.433Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Volume$362•EndsJun 30, 2026•30d 4h left

Outcomes

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Pariflow

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.