
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Will China launch a military offensive to seize control of Taiwan before June 30, 2026? Bet on the future of this geopolitical flashpoint!
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Jun 30, 2026
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PARIFLOWThis market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.