Ends 6/30/2026

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Name: Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Start: 2026-02-10T20:19:29.430Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Will China launch a military offensive to seize control of Taiwan before June 30, 2026? Bet on the future of this geopolitical flashpoint!

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Volume:$32.3k

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Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.