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Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Name: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Start: 2026-02-22T15:09:33.568Z
End: 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z

Volume$410•EndsOct 4, 2026•126d 4h left

Pariflow

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva· $177	71%
Flavio Bolsonaro· $160	64%
Fernando Haddad· $44	17%
Michelle Bolsonaro· $12	5%
Tarcisio de Frietas· $9	4%
Jair Bolsonaro· $8	3%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva· $177

71%

Flavio Bolsonaro· $160

64%

Fernando Haddad· $44

17%

Michelle Bolsonaro· $12

Tarcisio de Frietas· $9

Jair Bolsonaro· $8

Resolution Rules

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).