AP calls the Senate by...?
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Each outcome asks whether “AP calls the Senate?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are November 4, 3:59 AM, November 4, 11:59 PM, November 4, 12:59 AM, January 4, 11:59 PM, December 2, 11:59 PM, November 13, 11:59 PM, November 3, 11:59 PM, November 6, 11:59 PM, November 18, 11:59 PM, and November 3, 10:59 PM.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.
Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.